Analyzing selection odds for H-1B applicants in lower salary brackets.
The introduction of the wage-weighted H-1B lottery for FY2027 has raised significant concerns for individuals in roles that typically command lower salaries. This page breaks down how these changes affect selection odds and what it means for those applying for H-1B visas in lower wage categories.
| Feature | Data Point | Trend vs 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| FY2027 Lottery Odds (Overall) | 35.3% | ↓ 15% |
| FY2027 Lottery Odds (Level 1) | ~15% | ↓ 20% |
| FY2027 Lottery Odds (Level 2) | ~31% | ↑ 3% |
| FY2027 Lottery Odds (Level 3) | ~46% | ↑ 5% |
| FY2027 Lottery Registrations | ~343,981 | ↓ 27% |
| New Form I-129 | Mandatory April 2026 | N/A |
Our analysis of the FY2027 lottery data reveals that the wage-weighted system disproportionately impacts roles with salaries below the median H-1B wage. While Level 1 odds are ~15%, the number of registrations in this tier has not decreased proportionally, indicating increased competition for these lower-wage slots.
If your potential role falls into a lower wage level (Level 1 or 2), focus on employers with a strong track record of H-1B sponsorship and high approval rates for PERM. Get Wisa can help identify these sponsors, even if lottery odds are challenging.
The FY2027 H-1B lottery's wage-weighted system marks a significant shift, particularly for individuals targeting roles with lower salaries. With overall selection odds at 35.3% and Level 1 odds at a mere ~15%, the competition for these positions has intensified dramatically. This system prioritizes higher salaries, meaning roles that previously had a reasonable chance of selection may now face much steeper odds.
The mandatory new Form I-129, effective April 2026, adds another layer of complexity. While specific fee details are still being clarified, it's essential for employers to prepare for these changes. Long-term visa planning must also consider the persistent delays in PERM processing, which averages 503 days, and the 3-4 month PWD processing times.
While specific wage levels are not always public, companies with high overall filing volumes often sponsor a range of roles, including those at lower wage levels:
The estimated selection odds for H-1B registrations falling into the Level 1 wage category for the FY2027 lottery are approximately 15%.
Higher salaries correspond to higher wage levels (Level 3 & 4), which have significantly better selection odds (~46% and ~62%) in the FY2027 lottery compared to Level 1.
Focus on securing offers from companies with a proven, high-volume sponsorship history and strong PERM approval rates. Utilize Get Wisa to identify such employers.
The new I-129 form applies to all H-1B applications starting April 2026. While specific fee impacts are pending, all applicants must comply with the updated filing requirements.
Search thousands of verified H-1B sponsors by company, industry, and location.
Search H-1B Sponsors on Wisa →The estimated selection odds for H-1B registrations falling into the Level 1 wage category for the FY2027 lottery are approximately 15%.
Higher salaries correspond to higher wage levels (Level 3 & 4), which have significantly better selection odds (~46% and ~62%) in the FY2027 lottery compared to Level 1.
Focus on securing offers from companies with a proven, high-volume sponsorship history and strong PERM approval rates. Utilize Get Wisa to identify such employers.
The new I-129 form applies to all H-1B applications starting April 2026. While specific fee impacts are pending, all applicants must comply with the updated filing requirements.